Monday, November 19, 2007

Hawkeyes for Huckabee...

The most recent polling data from pollster shows some interesting trends in the Iowa GOP caucus. The most interesting trend to me has been the surge of Mike Huckabee into a solid second place behind Romney. Of course, with the recent Club for Growth attacks - it just may be that the Huck is ready for his "deceleration point" to occur. This deceleration point can be noted in the trend lines of Rudy, McCain and especially F. Thompson. This is an interesting phenomenon, especially when all the major players except Romney and Huck have experienced this effect already. The key to note here is that it appears that Romney's support is beginning to clump around the high twenties... could this be the beginning of the deceleration? Could Huckabee's continued growth in support in Iowa be enough to win by ten points, and then go on to carry the nomination? Could an Arkansas governor be pitted against a Clinton for the White House? Just maybe.

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