Friday, December 28, 2007

It's all so complicated...

The Bhutto assassination undoubtedly throws some uncertainty into the Pakistani situation and my comrade Mel-Anon hits home with a great post on the situation.

It is difficult to decipher what this will mean for Pakistan in the long term, but the likely short term implications are Sharif and the opposition parties boycott the January 8th elections -- leading to a status quo government ran by Musharraf. With the US pushing for the election to stay on track to keep the "bad guys" from winning -- we will probably see an "election" that changes little other than giving a new rallying cry for unrest. Overall winner -- whoever likes a destabilized nuclear power situated between Iran, Afghanistan, India and China.

I saw Charlie Wilson's War over the weekend, and have to say that it is pertinent to this topic. Understanding the Soviet-Afghan experience is a must for understanding the current geopolitical situation in Southern/Central Asia.

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