The odds are good...

but the goods are odd...

Betting odds... with a cushion for the house.

DEMOCRATS
Clinton 3/2
Obama 5/3
Edwards 16/1
Kuci 100/1

REPUBLICANS
McCain 8/3
Guiliani 8/3
Huckabee 7/2
Romney 8/1
Thompson 15/1
Paul 25/1

On the Dems side, I give a slight edge to Clinton as she has been polling well in Nevada up to this point. I recognize the polling data is being called to question currently, but she also has a nice backdrop of a default win in Michigan (since Obama and Edwards) aren't on the ballot and very likely a default in Florida as well. Those delegates may just end up mattering. Hell Wisconsin's primary may end up mattering as the top two have the resources to keep a dog in this fight.

On the GOP side, I give an even odds favorite status to McCain who is hot and Rudy, who is not -- but he has a big war chest and "national appeal." If he can weather losing Michigan and South Carolina (especially if Romney then Huckabee win) he could come back to roost in Florida. Huckabee has potential, but I don't think his campaign has evolved to the level of some of the others. Thompson may still end up the default nominee if everyone else keeps falling down and he stays asleep at the wheel (which may be the most ingenious strategy yet). Romney MUST WIN in Michigan or he is done. Paul... well if he can mobilize his new found net roots libertarian movement (and keep them from seeing his not so libertarian stances on social issues), he may make some noise... but I doubt it.